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Red48
999113.8
1026419.9
999918.4
Blue120
874462.1
214344.2
253124.1
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2614305010020025048120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+64
Endgame+72
Fouls+72
AutonomousBlue +24
6Leave6
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points24
6Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +40
7Coral scored#12
26Coral points44
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#5
6Processor points12
4Net points20
10Algae points32
36Total teleop76
Reef
2L4#6
2L3#6
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +72
0Foul points0
48Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.90.0
15.715.7
Auto3.3
Teleop15.0
End1.6
blue by 42.2
62.10.1
57.257.1
Auto12.8
Teleop47.8
End1.5
Second
9999
#14
18.40.0
16.616.6
Auto1.6
Teleop12.7
End4.2
blue by 25.7
44.20.1
37.337.2
Auto11.4
Teleop25.9
End6.8
Third
13.80.0
16.016.0
Auto2.4
Teleop10.0
End1.5
blue by 10.3
24.10.1
26.326.3
Auto3.5
Teleop18.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed57%Barge oddsEarned