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Red148
957653.0
214344.2
1026419.9
Blue58
582629.2
99969.9
206225.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1286805010015020025014858

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+84Teleop
+96Endgame
+90Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave6
5Coral scored#2
27Coral points10
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +70
22Coral scored#7
80Coral points24
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
104Total teleop34
Reef
6L4#4
8L3#2
8L2#2
5L1 · trough#1
32Game pieces#11
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +90
0Foul points6
148Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.00.8
51.252.0
Auto8.4
Teleop36.6
End8.0
red by 23.9
5826
#15
29.20.3
29.529.2
Auto7.1
Teleop20.6
End1.4
Second
44.20.8
42.343.1
Auto11.4
Teleop25.9
End6.8
red by 19.1
25.10.3
25.425.1
Auto4.3
Teleop18.9
End1.8
Third
19.90.8
18.118.9
Auto3.3
Teleop15.0
End1.6
red by 10.0
9996
#11
9.90.4
10.39.9
Auto3.6
Teleop5.6
End0.7