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Red58
93038.8
999013.7
253124.1
Blue73
582629.2
99969.9
206225.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86740501001502002505873

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
Teleop+19
Endgame+15
Fouls+15
AutonomousRed +8
3Leave6
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points9
23Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +27
6Coral scored#11
21Coral points38
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
0Processor points6
8Net points12
8Algae points18
29Total teleop56
Reef
4L4#6
2L3#4
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#17
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points0
58Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
#4
38.80.4
39.238.8
Auto10.0
Teleop21.1
End7.6
red by 9.6
5826
#15
29.20.2
29.329.5
Auto7.1
Teleop20.6
End1.4
Second
24.10.4
24.524.1
Auto3.5
Teleop18.9
End1.7
blue by 1.0
25.10.2
25.225.4
Auto4.3
Teleop18.9
End1.8
Third
9990
#10
13.70.6
14.413.7
Auto5.7
Teleop6.3
End1.8
red by 3.9
9996
#11
9.90.3
10.010.3
Auto3.6
Teleop5.6
End0.7