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Red141
179240.8
999918.4
874462.1
Blue121
957653.0
214344.2
1026419.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1161156080100140160141121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+18Teleop
+20Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave0
3Coral scored#6
14Coral points30
20Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +28
20Coral scored#15
71Coral points53
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
18Processor points12
16Net points12
34Algae points24
105Total teleop77
Reef
11L4#9
5L3#5
5L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
30Game pieces#26
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points0
141Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.10.6
60.060.6
Auto12.8
Teleop47.8
End1.5
red by 9.1
53.00.2
51.051.2
Auto8.4
Teleop36.6
End8.0
Second
40.80.6
38.639.2
Auto8.7
Teleop28.5
End3.5
blue by 3.4
44.20.2
42.142.3
Auto11.4
Teleop25.9
End6.8
Third
9999
#14
18.40.9
15.316.2
Auto1.6
Teleop12.7
End4.2
blue by 1.5
19.90.2
17.818.1
Auto3.3
Teleop15.0
End1.6