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Red88
93038.8
999013.7
253124.1
Blue61
638122.7
999418.4
999113.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions885501001502008861

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+9Teleop
+21Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave6
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +3
9Coral scored#9
32Coral points33
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
54Total teleop51
Reef
5L4#3
2L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#13
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +27
6Foul points0
88Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
#4
38.80.1
39.239.2
Auto10.0
Teleop21.1
End7.6
red by 16.1
6381
#13
22.70.1
22.622.7
Auto3.6
Teleop14.5
End4.6
Second
24.10.1
24.424.5
Auto3.5
Teleop18.9
End1.7
red by 5.7
18.40.2
18.218.4
Auto3.0
Teleop13.4
End2.0
Third
9990
#10
13.70.1
14.314.4
Auto5.7
Teleop6.3
End1.8
Level
13.80.2
13.513.8
Auto2.4
Teleop10.0
End1.5