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Red3
582629.2
99969.9
206225.1
Blue0
997110.9
997010.9
997310.9
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8630020406010012014016030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+3Teleop
+3Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave0
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
3Total auto0
Teleoperatedlevel
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
0Total teleop0
Reef
0L4#0
0L3#0
0L2#0
0L1 · trough#0
0Game pieces#0
Bargelevel
0Cage & park0
0Total endgame0
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points0
3Total score0

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5826
#15
29.21.5
30.729.3
Auto7.1
Teleop20.6
End1.4
red by 18.2
9970
Unranked
10.91.4
12.310.9
Auto2.9
Teleop7.2
End1.0
Second
25.11.5
26.725.2
Auto4.3
Teleop18.9
End1.8
red by 14.1
9971
Unranked
10.91.4
12.310.9
Auto2.9
Teleop7.2
End1.0
Third
9996
#11
9.92.1
12.210.0
Auto3.6
Teleop5.6
End0.7
blue by 1.0
9973
Unranked
10.91.4
12.310.9
Auto2.9
Teleop7.2
End1.0