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Red167
319759.4
472866.3
802420.4
Blue150
702145.9
400955.5
222528.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15914250100200250300167150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+17Teleop
+17Endgame
+17Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
5Coral scored#5
27Coral points24
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +17
24Coral scored#19
87Coral points70
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
111Total teleop94
Reef
13L4#9
5L3#8
7L2#3
4L1 · trough#4
34Game pieces#29
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +17
0Foul points0
167Total score150

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.30.7
65.766.3
Auto10.0
Teleop47.7
End8.6
red by 10.8
55.50.5
55.055.5
Auto12.9
Teleop37.1
End5.5
Second
59.40.5
58.959.4
Auto11.4
Teleop42.4
End5.6
red by 13.5
45.90.5
45.445.9
Auto11.2
Teleop25.5
End9.2
Third
8024
#30
20.40.7
19.720.4
Auto4.6
Teleop11.5
End4.2
blue by 8.0
2225
#17
28.30.6
27.728.3
Auto4.8
Teleop16.4
End7.1