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Red178
319759.4
472866.3
802420.4
Blue161
702145.9
400955.5
222528.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions158140100200250178161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+47Teleop
+17Endgame
+17Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
7Coral scored#6
37Coral points31
37Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +47
25Coral scored#16
89Coral points56
4Processor algae#3
4Net algae#2
24Processor points18
16Net points8
40Algae points26
129Total teleop82
Reef
15L4#8
8L3#6
5L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
40Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +30
6Cage & park36
6Total endgame36
Penalties & totalRed +17
6Foul points6
178Total score161

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.30.8
64.965.7
Auto10.0
Teleop47.7
End8.6
red by 10.8
55.50.6
54.555.0
Auto12.9
Teleop37.1
End5.5
Second
59.40.6
58.358.9
Auto11.4
Teleop42.4
End5.6
red by 13.5
45.90.6
44.845.4
Auto11.2
Teleop25.5
End9.2
Third
8024
#30
20.40.8
18.919.7
Auto4.6
Teleop11.5
End4.2
blue by 8.0
2225
#17
28.30.8
26.927.7
Auto4.8
Teleop16.4
End7.1