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Red137
590338.0
216929.8
283036.4
Blue147
702145.9
400955.5
222528.3
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11614980100140160180200220137147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
+8Teleop
Endgame+4
Fouls+10
AutonomousBlue +15
6Leave3
3Coral scored#7
16Coral points34
22Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +23
18Coral scored#16
65Coral points58
4Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
24Processor points12
12Net points8
36Algae points20
101Total teleop78
Reef
10L4#10
4L3#7
5L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points6
137Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5903
#23
38.00.5
37.538.0
Auto7.7
Teleop24.3
End5.9
blue by 17.5
55.50.0
54.454.5
Auto12.9
Teleop37.1
End5.5
Second
2830
#33
36.40.6
35.836.4
Auto5.3
Teleop30.8
End0.3
blue by 9.5
45.90.0
44.844.8
Auto11.2
Teleop25.5
End9.2
Third
2169
#10
29.80.6
29.229.8
Auto6.7
Teleop17.6
End5.5
red by 1.4
2225
#17
28.30.0
26.926.9
Auto4.8
Teleop16.4
End7.1