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Red16
338115.6
1718.2
401117.9
Blue70
420731.4
305515.0
369220.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6765204060801001201670

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+38
Endgame+48
Fouls+54
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave0
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +31
1Coral scored#7
3Coral points24
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
3Total teleop34
Reef
1L4#4
1L3#4
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +54
0Foul points6
16Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4011
#28
17.93.6
17.313.7
Auto3.7
Teleop11.2
End3.0
blue by 13.5
4207
#15
31.40.3
23.623.9
Auto5.9
Teleop19.1
End6.4
Second
3381
#45
15.63.6
16.512.9
Auto3.0
Teleop9.1
End3.4
blue by 5.2
3692
#22
20.90.3
20.020.3
Auto4.1
Teleop14.8
End1.9
Third
171
#49
8.24.5
22.818.3
Auto3.1
Teleop3.9
End1.3
blue by 6.8
3055
#40
15.00.3
17.617.9
Auto1.6
Teleop11.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsMissed42%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsEarned