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Red16
297713.3
870012.1
309011.7
Blue56
283036.4
673216.1
167527.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions478601001502001656

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+42
Endgame+40
Fouls+40
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +42
1Coral scored#11
4Coral points38
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#2
0Processor points0
0Net points8
0Algae points8
4Total teleop46
Reef
1L4#5
0L3#2
0L2#3
0L1 · trough#2
1Game pieces#14
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
0Foul points0
16Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2977
#46
13.32.7
12.29.5
Auto1.4
Teleop10.6
End1.2
blue by 23.1
2830
#33
36.41.8
29.928.2
Auto5.3
Teleop30.8
End0.3
Second
8700
#13
12.13.3
16.613.2
Auto4.0
Teleop6.6
End1.5
blue by 15.7
1675
#19
27.81.8
25.323.5
Auto1.4
Teleop20.9
End5.5
Third
3090
#43
11.73.4
17.414.1
Auto4.7
Teleop4.3
End2.7
blue by 4.4
6732
#39
16.11.8
16.714.9
Auto2.7
Teleop12.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsMissed49%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsMissed