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Red129
870123.6
9339.8
761921.7
Blue67
453123.6
501914.5
222528.3
80%Model gave it20%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9261020408010012014016012967

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+42Teleop
+44Endgame
+62Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave9
1Coral scored#0
7Coral points0
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +35
15Coral scored#8
53Coral points28
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
73Total teleop38
Reef
6L4#4
6L3#1
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#10
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +62
24Foul points6
129Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93
#7
39.82.1
28.330.4
Auto7.8
Teleop26.5
End5.5
red by 11.5
2225
#17
28.30.7
15.815.1
Auto4.8
Teleop16.4
End7.1
Second
8701
#20
23.62.1
22.724.7
Auto5.3
Teleop13.0
End5.3
Level
23.60.6
22.421.8
Auto4.1
Teleop14.8
End4.8
Third
7619
#34
21.71.7
26.428.1
Auto2.9
Teleop13.9
End4.8
red by 7.2
5019
#31
14.50.7
17.216.5
Auto3.5
Teleop7.6
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsEarned