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Red90
405418.1
874436.5
582635.4
Blue49
710319.4
402112.7
206213.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions817840506070901001101209049

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+39Teleop
+41Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave3
1Coral scored#4
7Coral points20
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +46
15Coral scored#4
54Coral points16
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
6Processor points6
8Net points0
14Algae points6
68Total teleop22
Reef
6L4#2
5L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#9
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
0Foul points0
90Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8744
#11
36.52.2
26.628.8
Auto7.0
Teleop26.8
End2.7
red by 17.1
7103
#36
19.42.2
27.124.9
Auto8.0
Teleop9.0
End2.4
Second
35.41.7
26.328.0
Auto11.5
Teleop21.7
End2.2
red by 22.0
2062
#42
13.42.2
25.323.0
Auto4.5
Teleop6.6
End2.3
Third
4054
#50
18.12.2
17.519.6
Auto2.7
Teleop13.3
End2.0
red by 5.4
4021
#48
12.72.2
16.714.5
Auto3.6
Teleop7.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsMissed