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Red38
558618.6
514816.4
109111.3
Blue88
61667.0
914915.4
702145.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions748502040601001201401603888

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+42
Endgame+52
Fouls+50
AutonomousBlue +17
6Leave9
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points14
6Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +25
6Coral scored#10
20Coral points35
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
24Total teleop49
Reef
2L4#4
2L3#5
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
2Foul points0
38Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5586
#44
18.62.4
19.316.9
Auto3.4
Teleop12.7
End2.5
blue by 27.3
45.91.4
32.834.2
Auto11.2
Teleop25.5
End9.2
Second
5148
#38
16.43.0
22.719.7
Auto3.3
Teleop9.1
End4.0
red by 0.9
9149
#25
15.41.8
16.418.2
Auto3.7
Teleop10.2
End1.5
Third
1091
#29
11.33.0
21.018.0
Auto2.3
Teleop7.1
End1.9
red by 4.3
6166
#51
7.01.8
22.724.5
Auto2.7
Teleop3.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsMissed53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed64%Barge oddsEarned