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Red118
171617.7
250932.1
319759.4
Blue52
253128.7
70619.5
967613.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1087605015020011852

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+48Teleop
+66Endgame
+66Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
6Leave6
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points4
23Total auto10
TeleoperatedRed +35
13Coral scored#6
45Coral points20
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
65Total teleop30
Reef
6L4#2
3L3#2
3L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#9
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +66
6Foul points6
118Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.41.8
47.549.2
Auto11.4
Teleop42.4
End5.6
red by 30.7
2531
#16
28.72.0
22.820.8
Auto4.9
Teleop22.1
End1.6
Second
32.12.2
25.427.6
Auto6.2
Teleop18.2
End7.6
red by 12.5
706
#21
19.52.6
22.419.9
Auto5.8
Teleop12.0
End1.8
Third
1716
#41
17.71.8
19.421.2
Auto4.9
Teleop11.3
End1.5
red by 3.7
9676
#47
13.92.6
23.821.2
Auto2.9
Teleop9.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned44%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsEarned22%Barge oddsEarned