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Red94
802420.4
341817.1
400955.5
Blue126
216929.8
472866.3
957820.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions899040608010012014094126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+22
Endgame+30
Fouls+32
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave3
5Coral scored#4
24Coral points20
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +29
9Coral scored#14
34Coral points51
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
12Processor points12
8Net points20
20Algae points32
54Total teleop83
Reef
5L4#6
4L3#4
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
18Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
4Foul points6
94Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.50.7
35.536.1
Auto12.9
Teleop37.1
End5.5
blue by 10.8
66.34.3
33.337.6
Auto10.0
Teleop47.7
End8.6
Second
8024
#30
20.40.8
18.419.2
Auto4.6
Teleop11.5
End4.2
blue by 9.4
2169
#10
29.84.3
25.830.0
Auto6.7
Teleop17.6
End5.5
Third
3418
#32
17.10.8
23.324.2
Auto5.7
Teleop7.6
End3.8
blue by 2.9
9578
#35
20.03.4
16.620.0
Auto4.9
Teleop14.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsEarned