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Red87
591429.1
219433.6
590338.0
Blue118
638130.8
252638.3
53742.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1048405015020087118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+25
Endgame+27
Fouls+31
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave9
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points7
26Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +35
10Coral scored#17
37Coral points62
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
6Processor points12
12Net points16
18Algae points28
55Total teleop90
Reef
5L4#8
4L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
2Foul points6
87Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5903
#23
38.00.2
35.435.2
Auto7.7
Teleop24.3
End5.9
blue by 4.6
537
#9
42.54.5
25.029.5
Auto5.5
Teleop32.1
End5.0
Second
2194
#12
33.60.3
31.130.8
Auto9.2
Teleop21.4
End3.1
blue by 4.7
2526
#18
38.33.6
27.631.2
Auto5.3
Teleop31.5
End1.5
Third
5914
#14
29.10.3
21.220.9
Auto6.8
Teleop18.3
End4.0
blue by 1.7
6381
#24
30.83.6
19.022.6
Auto5.8
Teleop21.7
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsMissed43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsMissed