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Red53
882121.7
206213.4
167527.8
Blue76
853128.9
420731.4
282623.8
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72810501001502005376

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+23
Endgame+23
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +20
7Coral scored#14
25Coral points49
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
43Total teleop63
Reef
3L4#7
1L3#5
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points0
53Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1675
#19
27.83.0
23.520.5
Auto1.4
Teleop20.9
End5.5
blue by 3.6
4207
#15
31.41.5
23.922.4
Auto5.9
Teleop19.1
End6.4
Second
8821
#26
21.73.0
18.215.1
Auto4.9
Teleop15.2
End1.6
blue by 7.2
8531
#37
28.91.5
22.721.3
Auto4.7
Teleop22.4
End1.8
Third
2062
#42
13.43.0
23.020.0
Auto4.5
Teleop6.6
End2.3
blue by 10.4
2826
#27
23.81.5
24.523.1
Auto4.4
Teleop13.9
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsMissed55%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed45%Barge oddsMissed