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Red59
309011.7
305515.0
761921.7
Blue128
702145.9
402112.7
582635.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions648605010015059128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+59
Endgame+69
Fouls+69
AutonomousBlue +24
6Leave6
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points24
6Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +35
8Coral scored#16
29Coral points58
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
47Total teleop82
Reef
3L4#7
3L3#5
1L2#6
1L1 · trough#3
12Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +69
0Foul points0
59Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7619
#34
21.70.8
28.127.2
Auto2.9
Teleop13.9
End4.8
blue by 24.2
45.93.3
34.237.5
Auto11.2
Teleop25.5
End9.2
Second
3055
#40
15.01.1
17.916.8
Auto1.6
Teleop11.1
End2.3
blue by 20.3
35.43.3
28.031.3
Auto11.5
Teleop21.7
End2.2
Third
3090
#43
11.71.1
14.112.9
Auto4.7
Teleop4.3
End2.7
blue by 1.0
4021
#48
12.74.4
14.519.0
Auto3.6
Teleop7.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsMissed80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsMissed49%Barge oddsEarned