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Red83
590338.0
967613.9
297713.3
Blue48
405418.1
558618.6
638130.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71663040506080901001108348

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+31Teleop
+35Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points7
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +35
13Coral scored#6
48Coral points23
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
68Total teleop33
Reef
6L4#2
4L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#9
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
0Foul points0
83Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5903
#23
38.01.4
35.236.5
Auto7.7
Teleop24.3
End5.9
red by 7.2
6381
#24
30.80.9
22.621.7
Auto5.8
Teleop21.7
End3.3
Second
9676
#47
13.91.9
21.223.1
Auto2.9
Teleop9.8
End1.2
blue by 4.6
5586
#44
18.60.9
16.916.0
Auto3.4
Teleop12.7
End2.5
Third
2977
#46
13.31.4
9.510.9
Auto1.4
Teleop10.6
End1.2
blue by 4.8
4054
#50
18.11.2
19.618.4
Auto2.7
Teleop13.3
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsMissed20%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsMissed