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Red79
882121.7
252638.3
216929.8
Blue94
250932.1
283036.4
338115.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91782040601001201407994

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+7
Endgame+9
Fouls+15
Autonomouslevel
0Leave9
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +7
12Coral scored#16
44Coral points59
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
66Total teleop73
Reef
6L4#5
4L3#5
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points6
79Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2526
#18
38.30.3
31.230.9
Auto5.3
Teleop31.5
End1.5
red by 1.9
2830
#33
36.41.8
28.230.0
Auto5.3
Teleop30.8
End0.3
Second
2169
#10
29.80.4
30.029.7
Auto6.7
Teleop17.6
End5.5
blue by 2.3
32.11.8
27.629.4
Auto6.2
Teleop18.2
End7.6
Third
8821
#26
21.70.4
15.114.8
Auto4.9
Teleop15.2
End1.6
red by 6.1
3381
#45
15.61.3
12.914.2
Auto3.0
Teleop9.1
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsMissed42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed50%Barge oddsMissed