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Red101
401117.9
874436.5
957820.0
Blue104
53742.5
853128.9
514816.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7382050100150200250300350101104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+7Teleop
Endgame+3
Fouls+3
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave9
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points3
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +3
15Coral scored#14
55Coral points52
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
79Total teleop76
Reef
7L4#6
5L3#4
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points0
101Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8744
#11
36.52.8
28.831.6
Auto7.0
Teleop26.8
End2.7
blue by 6.0
537
#9
42.52.1
29.531.5
Auto5.5
Teleop32.1
End5.0
Second
9578
#35
20.02.1
20.022.1
Auto4.9
Teleop14.5
End0.7
blue by 8.9
8531
#37
28.92.1
21.323.3
Auto4.7
Teleop22.4
End1.8
Third
4011
#28
17.92.1
13.715.8
Auto3.7
Teleop11.2
End3.0
red by 1.6
5148
#38
16.42.1
19.721.7
Auto3.3
Teleop9.1
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsEarned34%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsEarned