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Red37
369220.9
61667.0
282623.8
Blue148
472866.3
219433.6
9339.8
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7311705010015020037148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+85
Endgame+103
Fouls+111
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points7
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +75
5Coral scored#14
19Coral points52
1Processor algae#4
0Net algae#6
6Processor points24
0Net points24
6Algae points48
25Total teleop100
Reef
2L4#6
2L3#5
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +18
6Cage & park24
6Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +111
0Foul points8
37Total score148

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2826
#27
23.84.4
23.118.7
Auto4.4
Teleop13.9
End5.5
blue by 42.5
66.33.7
37.641.3
Auto10.0
Teleop47.7
End8.6
Second
3692
#22
20.94.4
20.315.9
Auto4.1
Teleop14.8
End1.9
blue by 18.9
93
#7
39.83.7
30.434.0
Auto7.8
Teleop26.5
End5.5
Third
6166
#51
7.04.4
24.520.1
Auto2.7
Teleop3.2
End1.0
blue by 26.6
2194
#12
33.63.7
30.834.5
Auto9.2
Teleop21.4
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsMissed65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed55%Barge oddsEarned