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Red72
453123.6
206213.4
1718.2
Blue195
702145.9
319759.4
400955.5
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58148010020072195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+22
Teleop+125
Endgame+123
Fouls+123
AutonomousBlue +22
6Leave9
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points25
12Total auto34
TeleoperatedBlue +103
7Coral scored#33
26Coral points119
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
6Processor points12
12Net points16
18Algae points28
44Total teleop147
Reef
2L4#16
1L3#8
3L2#8
2L1 · trough#6
12Game pieces#44
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +123
0Foul points0
72Total score195

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4531
#8Sur
23.60.4
22.022.4
Auto4.1
Teleop14.8
End4.8
blue by 35.8
3197
#4Sur
59.44.6
49.354.0
Auto11.4
Teleop42.4
End5.6
Second
2062
#42
13.40.6
20.020.6
Auto4.5
Teleop6.6
End2.3
blue by 42.1
55.54.6
37.642.2
Auto12.9
Teleop37.1
End5.5
Third
171
#49
8.20.6
15.816.4
Auto3.1
Teleop3.9
End1.3
blue by 37.7
45.94.6
37.542.1
Auto11.2
Teleop25.5
End9.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
34%Barge oddsEarned85%Barge oddsEarned