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Red140
167527.8
369220.9
472866.3
Blue87
710319.4
253128.7
638130.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89712040608010012014016014087

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+29Teleop
+53Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave0
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points16
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +32
19Coral scored#15
67Coral points55
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
18Processor points6
16Net points8
34Algae points14
101Total teleop69
Reef
10L4#8
6L3#3
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#21
BargeRed +24
26Cage & park2
26Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +53
0Foul points0
140Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.35.6
41.346.8
Auto10.0
Teleop47.7
End8.6
red by 35.6
6381
#24
30.80.8
21.722.5
Auto5.8
Teleop21.7
End3.3
Second
1675
#19
27.85.6
20.526.1
Auto1.4
Teleop20.9
End5.5
blue by 1.0
2531
#16
28.70.8
19.019.7
Auto4.9
Teleop22.1
End1.6
Third
3692
#22
20.95.6
15.921.5
Auto4.1
Teleop14.8
End1.9
red by 1.4
7103
#36
19.41.2
25.426.6
Auto8.0
Teleop9.0
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsMissed29%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsMissed