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Red68
673216.1
501914.5
874436.5
Blue16
967613.9
401117.9
305515.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions696302040801001206816

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+64Teleop
+64Endgame
+52Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave0
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
6Total auto0
TeleoperatedRed +58
9Coral scored#0
34Coral points0
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
12Processor points0
12Net points0
24Algae points0
58Total teleop0
Reef
3L4#0
3L3#0
2L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
14Game pieces#0
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +52
0Foul points12
68Total score16

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8744
#11
36.50.8
31.632.4
Auto7.0
Teleop26.8
End2.7
red by 18.6
4011
#28
17.93.8
15.811.9
Auto3.7
Teleop11.2
End3.0
Second
6732
#39
16.10.8
12.413.2
Auto2.7
Teleop12.1
End1.3
red by 1.1
3055
#40
15.05.7
16.811.1
Auto1.6
Teleop11.1
End2.3
Third
5019
#31
14.50.8
17.017.8
Auto3.5
Teleop7.6
End3.3
red by 0.5
9676
#47
13.95.7
23.117.4
Auto2.9
Teleop9.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed23%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsEarned