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Red16
761921.7
405418.1
870012.1
Blue39
882121.7
309011.7
914915.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71490204060801001201639

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+19
Endgame+23
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +1
0Leave3
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points7
9Total auto10
TeleoperatedBlue +18
1Coral scored#5
5Coral points19
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
0Processor points0
0Net points4
0Algae points4
5Total teleop23
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#1
0L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points0
16Total score39

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7619
#34
21.73.3
27.223.9
Auto2.9
Teleop13.9
End4.8
Level
8821
#26
21.70.8
14.814.0
Auto4.9
Teleop15.2
End1.6
Second
4054
#50
18.15.0
18.413.4
Auto2.7
Teleop13.3
End2.0
red by 2.6
9149
#25
15.40.8
18.417.6
Auto3.7
Teleop10.2
End1.5
Third
8700
#13
12.15.0
15.310.3
Auto4.0
Teleop6.6
End1.5
red by 0.4
3090
#43
11.70.8
12.912.1
Auto4.7
Teleop4.3
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed19%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsMissed