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Red94
702145.9
710319.4
882121.7
Blue57
673216.1
171617.7
9339.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9468204060801201401609457

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+25Teleop
+39Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave9
6Coral scored#2
30Coral points10
30Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +14
8Coral scored#7
30Coral points24
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
48Total teleop34
Reef
6L4#3
3L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#11
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
0Foul points2
94Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.90.8
42.142.9
Auto11.2
Teleop25.5
End9.2
red by 6.1
93
#7
39.81.3
34.233.0
Auto7.8
Teleop26.5
End5.5
Second
8821
#26
21.71.3
14.015.2
Auto4.9
Teleop15.2
End1.6
red by 4.0
1716
#41
17.70.8
19.118.3
Auto4.9
Teleop11.3
End1.5
Third
7103
#36
19.41.3
26.627.8
Auto8.0
Teleop9.0
End2.4
red by 3.3
6732
#39
16.11.3
13.211.9
Auto2.7
Teleop12.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsMissed