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Red85
761921.7
558618.6
802420.4
Blue98
638130.8
282623.8
70619.5
61%Model gave it39%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69632040801008598

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+13
Endgame+25
Fouls+13
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave6
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +6
10Coral scored#12
36Coral points42
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
50Total teleop56
Reef
5L4#5
3L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
12Foul points0
85Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7619
#34
21.70.6
23.924.5
Auto2.9
Teleop13.9
End4.8
blue by 9.0
6381
#24
30.82.5
22.525.0
Auto5.8
Teleop21.7
End3.3
Second
8024
#30
20.41.0
15.816.8
Auto4.6
Teleop11.5
End4.2
blue by 3.4
2826
#27
23.84.2
18.923.1
Auto4.4
Teleop13.9
End5.5
Third
5586
#44
18.60.6
18.719.2
Auto3.4
Teleop12.7
End2.5
blue by 1.0
706
#21
19.54.2
13.417.6
Auto5.8
Teleop12.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed31%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsEarned