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Red92
53742.5
957820.0
369220.9
Blue134
319759.4
222528.3
870012.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9491608010012014092134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+26
Endgame+36
Fouls+42
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave0
3Coral scored#4
13Coral points22
16Total auto22
TeleoperatedBlue +20
14Coral scored#14
50Coral points50
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#7
12Processor points12
8Net points28
20Algae points40
70Total teleop90
Reef
8L4#7
4L3#6
4L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
0Foul points6
92Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
537
#9
42.50.3
31.732.0
Auto5.5
Teleop32.1
End5.0
blue by 16.9
59.42.3
54.056.3
Auto11.4
Teleop42.4
End5.6
Second
3692
#22
20.90.3
21.521.8
Auto4.1
Teleop14.8
End1.9
blue by 7.5
2225
#17
28.33.9
13.617.5
Auto4.8
Teleop16.4
End7.1
Third
9578
#35
20.00.2
22.923.1
Auto4.9
Teleop14.5
End0.7
red by 7.9
8700
#13
12.13.9
10.314.2
Auto4.0
Teleop6.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsMissed55%Barge oddsEarned