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Red83
591429.1
250932.1
167527.8
Blue28
514816.4
1718.2
305515.0
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions984602060801201401608328

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+59Teleop
+61Endgame
+55Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave3
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
13Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +52
9Coral scored#3
34Coral points10
2Processor algae#0
5Net algae#1
12Processor points0
20Net points4
32Algae points4
66Total teleop14
Reef
5L4#2
2L3#1
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
18Game pieces#5
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +55
0Foul points6
83Total score28

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.10.5
29.829.4
Auto6.2
Teleop18.2
End7.6
red by 15.7
5148
#38
16.43.5
18.314.8
Auto3.3
Teleop9.1
End4.0
Second
5914
#14
29.10.5
22.522.0
Auto6.8
Teleop18.3
End4.0
red by 14.1
3055
#40
15.03.5
11.17.6
Auto1.6
Teleop11.1
End2.3
Third
1675
#19
27.80.5
26.125.6
Auto1.4
Teleop20.9
End5.5
red by 19.6
171
#49
8.23.5
16.412.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsMissed43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed45%Barge oddsMissed