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Red107
420731.4
582635.4
216929.8
Blue121
252638.3
109111.3
253128.7
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107804060120140160180107121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
Teleop+2
Endgame+2
Fouls+14
AutonomousRed +15
3Leave0
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points15
30Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +17
11Coral scored#19
39Coral points70
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
12Processor points6
20Net points12
32Algae points18
71Total teleop88
Reef
4L4#8
4L3#7
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#26
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points12
107Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.40.7
32.232.9
Auto11.5
Teleop21.7
End2.2
blue by 2.9
2526
#18
38.32.1
31.933.9
Auto5.3
Teleop31.5
End1.5
Second
4207
#15
31.41.1
26.427.6
Auto5.9
Teleop19.1
End6.4
red by 2.7
2531
#16
28.72.1
19.721.8
Auto4.9
Teleop22.1
End1.6
Third
2169
#10
29.81.1
29.230.3
Auto6.7
Teleop17.6
End5.5
red by 18.5
1091
#29
11.33.4
18.622.1
Auto2.3
Teleop7.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned35%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed