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Red108
219433.6
283036.4
341817.1
Blue60
501914.5
405418.1
853128.9
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10356020408012014016010860

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+40Teleop
+36Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave6
2Coral scored#0
11Coral points0
20Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +26
17Coral scored#11
60Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
74Total teleop48
Reef
7L4#5
5L3#3
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +48
12Foul points0
108Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2830
#33
36.40.7
31.430.7
Auto5.3
Teleop30.8
End0.3
red by 7.5
8531
#37
28.91.8
20.819.0
Auto4.7
Teleop22.4
End1.8
Second
2194
#12
33.60.7
34.934.2
Auto9.2
Teleop21.4
End3.1
red by 15.6
4054
#50
18.11.8
13.411.6
Auto2.7
Teleop13.3
End2.0
Third
3418
#32
17.10.7
18.017.3
Auto5.7
Teleop7.6
End3.8
red by 2.6
5019
#31
14.51.8
17.816.0
Auto3.5
Teleop7.6
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsMissed22%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsMissed