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Red66
219433.6
870012.1
282623.8
Blue63
1718.2
216929.8
710319.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84822040601001201401606663

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+17Teleop
+15Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave0
2Coral scored#5
10Coral points26
16Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +27
9Coral scored#3
32Coral points11
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
46Total teleop19
Reef
5L4#3
2L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points12
66Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2194
#12
33.60.6
34.233.6
Auto9.2
Teleop21.4
End3.1
red by 3.8
2169
#10
29.82.2
30.328.1
Auto6.7
Teleop17.6
End5.5
Second
2826
#27
23.80.6
23.122.5
Auto4.4
Teleop13.9
End5.5
red by 4.4
7103
#36
19.42.2
27.825.6
Auto8.0
Teleop9.0
End2.4
Third
8700
#13
12.10.6
14.213.6
Auto4.0
Teleop6.6
End1.5
red by 3.9
171
#49
8.22.2
12.910.7
Auto3.1
Teleop3.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsMissed44%Barge oddsEarned