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Red85
171617.7
514816.4
405418.1
Blue100
453123.6
582635.4
369220.9
5%Model gave it95%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4697020608012014016085100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+23
Endgame+21
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave0
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points23
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +12
13Coral scored#13
47Coral points47
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#5
6Processor points6
8Net points20
14Algae points26
61Total teleop73
Reef
5L4#4
4L3#7
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#24
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
6Foul points0
85Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4054
#50
18.12.6
11.614.2
Auto2.7
Teleop13.3
End2.0
blue by 17.3
35.40.8
32.933.7
Auto11.5
Teleop21.7
End2.2
Second
1716
#41
17.71.5
18.319.8
Auto4.9
Teleop11.3
End1.5
blue by 6.0
23.60.8
22.122.9
Auto4.1
Teleop14.8
End4.8
Third
5148
#38
16.42.6
14.817.3
Auto3.3
Teleop9.1
End4.0
blue by 4.5
3692
#22
20.91.3
21.823.2
Auto4.1
Teleop14.8
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsMissed