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Red96
590338.0
702145.9
222528.3
Blue147
874436.5
472866.3
420731.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114122608010014016018096147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+49
Endgame+49
Fouls+51
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave3
2Coral scored#4
12Coral points20
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +38
12Coral scored#19
42Coral points68
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#3
6Processor points18
12Net points12
18Algae points30
60Total teleop98
Reef
5L4#8
3L3#4
3L2#7
3L1 · trough#4
18Game pieces#29
Bargelevel
24Cage & park24
24Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +51
0Foul points2
96Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.90.3
42.942.6
Auto11.2
Teleop25.5
End9.2
blue by 20.4
66.34.4
47.451.8
Auto10.0
Teleop47.7
End8.6
Second
5903
#23
38.00.3
39.639.3
Auto7.7
Teleop24.3
End5.9
red by 1.5
8744
#11
36.54.4
30.735.1
Auto7.0
Teleop26.8
End2.7
Third
2225
#17
28.30.4
17.517.1
Auto4.8
Teleop16.4
End7.1
blue by 3.1
4207
#15
31.44.4
27.631.9
Auto5.9
Teleop19.1
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned46%Barge oddsEarned