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Red43
673216.1
591429.1
305515.0
Blue69
206213.4
957820.0
558618.6
11%Model gave it89%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions497902040601001204369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+22
Endgame+26
Fouls+26
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +16
6Coral scored#9
21Coral points33
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
35Total teleop51
Reef
2L4#3
1L3#4
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points0
43Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5914
#14
29.10.2
22.021.8
Auto6.8
Teleop18.3
End4.0
red by 9.1
9578
#35
20.00.3
23.123.4
Auto4.9
Teleop14.5
End0.7
Second
6732
#39
16.10.2
11.911.8
Auto2.7
Teleop12.1
End1.3
blue by 2.5
5586
#44
18.60.3
19.219.6
Auto3.4
Teleop12.7
End2.5
Third
3055
#40
15.00.2
7.67.4
Auto1.6
Teleop11.1
End2.3
red by 1.7
2062
#42
13.40.6
18.919.5
Auto4.5
Teleop6.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed60%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed