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Red93
338115.6
53742.5
967613.9
Blue101
400955.5
761921.7
914915.4
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6010105015093101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
0Teleop0
+2Endgame
Fouls+8
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points7
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +4
13Coral scored#12
46Coral points42
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
12Processor points12
20Net points20
32Algae points32
78Total teleop74
Reef
5L4#6
3L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#20
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points10
93Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
537
#9
42.53.6
32.035.6
Auto5.5
Teleop32.1
End5.0
blue by 13.0
55.50.2
45.445.6
Auto12.9
Teleop37.1
End5.5
Second
3381
#45
15.62.2
13.615.8
Auto3.0
Teleop9.1
End3.4
blue by 6.1
7619
#34
21.70.2
24.524.7
Auto2.9
Teleop13.9
End4.8
Third
9676
#47
13.93.6
14.918.5
Auto2.9
Teleop9.8
End1.2
blue by 1.5
9149
#25
15.40.3
18.218.5
Auto3.7
Teleop10.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsMissed43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsMissed65%Barge oddsMissed