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Red63
341817.1
253128.7
250932.1
Blue21
309011.7
61667.0
109111.3
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8156020401001201406321

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+30Teleop
+32Endgame
+42Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave9
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +30
8Coral scored#2
30Coral points8
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
0Processor points0
8Net points0
8Algae points0
38Total teleop8
Reef
4L4#1
2L3#1
2L2#0
2L1 · trough#0
12Game pieces#2
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
12Foul points2
63Total score21

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.11.9
29.427.4
Auto6.2
Teleop18.2
End7.6
red by 20.4
3090
#43
11.73.8
17.313.5
Auto4.7
Teleop4.3
End2.7
Second
2531
#16
28.71.2
21.820.6
Auto4.9
Teleop22.1
End1.6
red by 17.4
1091
#29
11.33.8
22.118.3
Auto2.3
Teleop7.1
End1.9
Third
3418
#32
17.11.9
17.315.4
Auto5.7
Teleop7.6
End3.8
red by 10.1
6166
#51
7.03.8
14.010.2
Auto2.7
Teleop3.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsMissed46%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsMissed