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Red95
402112.7
501914.5
9339.8
Blue130
167527.8
590338.0
338115.6
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68962040608012014016095130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+21
Endgame+23
Fouls+35
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave9
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +25
11Coral scored#15
39Coral points54
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#6
6Processor points12
20Net points24
26Algae points36
65Total teleop90
Reef
5L4#7
4L3#3
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
0Foul points12
95Total score130

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93
#7
39.82.1
33.035.0
Auto7.8
Teleop26.5
End5.5
red by 1.8
5903
#23
38.01.6
39.340.9
Auto7.7
Teleop24.3
End5.9
Second
5019
#31
14.52.1
16.018.1
Auto3.5
Teleop7.6
End3.3
blue by 13.3
1675
#19
27.82.7
25.628.3
Auto1.4
Teleop20.9
End5.5
Third
4021
#48
12.72.1
12.614.6
Auto3.6
Teleop7.9
End1.2
blue by 2.9
3381
#45
15.61.6
15.817.4
Auto3.0
Teleop9.1
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned29%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
42%Barge oddsEarned36%Barge oddsEarned