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Red89
582635.4
882121.7
673216.1
Blue136
222528.3
53742.5
472866.3
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions681225010015020089136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
Teleop+35
Endgame+47
Fouls+47
AutonomousRed +15
6Leave9
4Coral scored#1
21Coral points3
27Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +50
8Coral scored#18
28Coral points64
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#8
18Processor points12
12Net points32
30Algae points44
58Total teleop108
Reef
4L4#5
3L3#9
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +47
0Foul points0
89Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.40.5
33.734.2
Auto11.5
Teleop21.7
End2.2
blue by 31.0
66.31.5
51.853.3
Auto10.0
Teleop47.7
End8.6
Second
8821
#26
21.70.9
19.820.7
Auto4.9
Teleop15.2
End1.6
blue by 20.8
537
#9
42.51.5
35.637.1
Auto5.5
Teleop32.1
End5.0
Third
6732
#39
16.10.9
11.812.7
Auto2.7
Teleop12.1
End1.3
blue by 12.2
2225
#17
28.31.5
17.118.6
Auto4.8
Teleop16.4
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed70%Barge oddsEarned