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Red27
967613.9
514816.4
870123.6
Blue56
870012.1
710319.4
420731.4
29%Model gave it71%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66822040601001201402756

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+43
Endgame+29
Fouls+29
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +37
1Coral scored#9
5Coral points34
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#2
0Processor points0
0Net points8
0Algae points8
5Total teleop42
Reef
1L4#3
0L3#3
0L2#2
0L1 · trough#2
1Game pieces#12
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
0Foul points0
27Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8701
#20
23.63.7
24.120.4
Auto5.3
Teleop13.0
End5.3
blue by 7.8
4207
#15
31.41.7
31.930.3
Auto5.9
Teleop19.1
End6.4
Second
5148
#38
16.43.7
17.313.7
Auto3.3
Teleop9.1
End4.0
blue by 3.1
7103
#36
19.41.7
25.623.9
Auto8.0
Teleop9.0
End2.4
Third
9676
#47
13.93.7
18.514.8
Auto2.9
Teleop9.8
End1.2
red by 1.9
8700
#13
12.11.7
13.611.9
Auto4.0
Teleop6.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsMissed80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsEarned56%Barge oddsMissed