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Red42
405418.1
802420.4
309011.7
Blue93
9339.8
109111.3
874436.5
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4710501504293

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+55
Endgame+45
Fouls+51
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave3
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points13
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +48
4Coral scored#13
13Coral points45
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#4
6Processor points6
0Net points16
6Algae points22
19Total teleop67
Reef
1L4#5
2L3#4
1L2#5
1L1 · trough#2
6Game pieces#21
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +51
0Foul points6
42Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8024
#30
20.40.8
21.620.8
Auto4.6
Teleop11.5
End4.2
blue by 19.5
93
#7
39.80.1
35.034.9
Auto7.8
Teleop26.5
End5.5
Second
4054
#50
18.10.8
14.213.4
Auto2.7
Teleop13.3
End2.0
blue by 18.4
8744
#11
36.50.1
35.134.9
Auto7.0
Teleop26.8
End2.7
Third
3090
#43
11.70.8
13.512.7
Auto4.7
Teleop4.3
End2.7
red by 0.4
1091
#29
11.30.1
18.318.1
Auto2.3
Teleop7.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsEarned44%Barge oddsMissed