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Red155
853128.9
400955.5
219433.6
Blue46
305515.0
558618.6
253128.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13453010015020015546

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+38Auto
+97Teleop
+109Endgame
+109Fouls
AutonomousRed +38
9Leave3
7Coral scored#1
35Coral points3
44Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +59
21Coral scored#8
75Coral points28
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
12Processor points0
8Net points8
20Algae points8
95Total teleop36
Reef
11L4#2
9L3#4
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
32Game pieces#11
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +109
0Foul points0
155Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.52.9
45.648.4
Auto12.9
Teleop37.1
End5.5
red by 26.8
2531
#16
28.70.7
20.620.0
Auto4.9
Teleop22.1
End1.6
Second
2194
#12
33.64.8
33.638.4
Auto9.2
Teleop21.4
End3.1
red by 15.0
5586
#44
18.60.7
19.618.9
Auto3.4
Teleop12.7
End2.5
Third
8531
#37
28.94.8
24.228.9
Auto4.7
Teleop22.4
End1.8
red by 13.8
3055
#40
15.01.1
7.46.3
Auto1.6
Teleop11.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned15%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned23%Barge oddsMissed