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Red80
109111.3
453123.6
710319.4
Blue108
305515.0
53742.5
70619.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7262020408010012014016080108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+60
Endgame+60
Fouls+28
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave6
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points10
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +56
4Coral scored#18
14Coral points66
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
0Processor points0
8Net points12
8Algae points12
22Total teleop78
Reef
2L4#7
2L3#7
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
8Game pieces#23
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
32Foul points0
80Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.61.0
21.020.0
Auto4.1
Teleop14.8
End4.8
blue by 18.9
537
#9
42.55.6
37.142.7
Auto5.5
Teleop32.1
End5.0
Second
7103
#36
19.41.7
23.922.2
Auto8.0
Teleop9.0
End2.4
blue by 0.1
706
#21
19.55.6
14.219.8
Auto5.8
Teleop12.0
End1.8
Third
1091
#29
11.31.7
18.116.4
Auto2.3
Teleop7.1
End1.9
blue by 3.7
3055
#40
15.05.6
6.311.9
Auto1.6
Teleop11.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsEarned