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Red144
472866.3
870012.1
582635.4
Blue74
9339.8
338115.6
558618.6
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116785010015020014474

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+50Teleop
+58Endgame
+70Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave0
5Coral scored#3
24Coral points16
33Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +33
20Coral scored#10
71Coral points36
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#1
6Processor points12
8Net points4
14Algae points16
85Total teleop52
Reef
9L4#5
9L3#4
5L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#16
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +70
12Foul points0
144Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.33.6
53.356.9
Auto10.0
Teleop47.7
End8.6
red by 26.5
93
#7
39.80.3
34.935.2
Auto7.8
Teleop26.5
End5.5
Second
35.42.2
34.236.4
Auto11.5
Teleop21.7
End2.2
red by 16.8
5586
#44
18.60.2
18.919.1
Auto3.4
Teleop12.7
End2.5
Third
8700
#13
12.13.6
11.915.5
Auto4.0
Teleop6.6
End1.5
blue by 3.5
3381
#45
15.60.2
17.417.6
Auto3.0
Teleop9.1
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsMissed