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Red87
309011.7
638130.8
591429.1
Blue84
206213.4
216929.8
319759.4
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions611230501001502008784

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+1Teleop
+3Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
6Leave6
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points13
20Total auto19
Teleoperatedlevel
10Coral scored#11
37Coral points41
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
51Total teleop51
Reef
3L4#6
5L3#4
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#16
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points0
87Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6381
#24
30.81.4
27.028.4
Auto5.8
Teleop21.7
End3.3
blue by 28.6
59.41.6
57.255.6
Auto11.4
Teleop42.4
End5.6
Second
5914
#14
29.12.4
23.225.6
Auto6.8
Teleop18.3
End4.0
blue by 0.7
2169
#10
29.82.7
28.425.7
Auto6.7
Teleop17.6
End5.5
Third
3090
#43
11.72.4
12.715.1
Auto4.7
Teleop4.3
End2.7
blue by 1.7
2062
#42
13.42.7
19.516.8
Auto4.5
Teleop6.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned60%Barge oddsEarned