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Red75
171617.7
874436.5
1718.2
Blue79
252638.3
341817.1
401117.9
35%Model gave it65%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions687640601001207579

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
0Teleop0
Endgame+4
Fouls+4
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave6
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points9
9Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +6
13Coral scored#13
46Coral points46
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#3
6Processor points0
12Net points12
18Algae points12
64Total teleop58
Reef
6L4#6
4L3#5
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points0
75Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8744
#11
36.50.1
34.934.8
Auto7.0
Teleop26.8
End2.7
blue by 1.8
2526
#18
38.30.1
37.637.8
Auto5.3
Teleop31.5
End1.5
Second
1716
#41
17.70.0
19.819.8
Auto4.9
Teleop11.3
End1.5
blue by 0.3
4011
#28
17.90.1
14.915.1
Auto3.7
Teleop11.2
End3.0
Third
171
#49
8.20.1
8.98.8
Auto3.1
Teleop3.9
End1.3
blue by 8.9
3418
#32
17.10.2
13.814.1
Auto5.7
Teleop7.6
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsMissed42%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed