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Red39
61667.0
802420.4
957820.0
Blue48
501914.5
761921.7
882121.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5879020401001203948

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+23
Endgame+21
Fouls+9
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points4
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +19
2Coral scored#6
8Coral points21
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
12Total teleop31
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#3
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#9
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
12Foul points0
39Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8024
#30
20.43.4
20.817.3
Auto4.6
Teleop11.5
End4.2
blue by 1.4
7619
#34
21.71.4
24.923.4
Auto2.9
Teleop13.9
End4.8
Second
9578
#35
20.02.1
22.620.6
Auto4.9
Teleop14.5
End0.7
blue by 1.7
8821
#26
21.72.4
20.718.3
Auto4.9
Teleop15.2
End1.6
Third
6166
#51
7.03.4
8.65.2
Auto2.7
Teleop3.2
End1.0
blue by 7.5
5019
#31
14.52.4
18.716.3
Auto3.5
Teleop7.6
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsMissed32%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed68%Barge oddsMissed