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Red106
870123.6
167527.8
297713.3
Blue66
914915.4
219433.6
967613.9
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59780204010012014010666

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+30Teleop
+40Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave0
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points23
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +44
12Coral scored#8
43Coral points29
3Processor algae#0
5Net algae#2
18Processor points0
20Net points8
38Algae points8
81Total teleop37
Reef
3L4#5
5L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#15
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
0Foul points0
106Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1675
#19
27.85.3
26.732.1
Auto1.4
Teleop20.9
End5.5
blue by 5.9
2194
#12
33.60.5
38.437.9
Auto9.2
Teleop21.4
End3.1
Second
8701
#20
23.65.3
20.425.7
Auto5.3
Teleop13.0
End5.3
red by 8.2
9149
#25
15.40.5
17.216.7
Auto3.7
Teleop10.2
End1.5
Third
2977
#46
13.33.2
11.114.2
Auto1.4
Teleop10.6
End1.2
blue by 0.7
9676
#47
13.90.5
14.814.3
Auto2.9
Teleop9.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsMissed17%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsMissed